One of the mental models we use for identifying potential investment opportunities is “Companies that have completed major Expansion”.
The idea behind the above is that most of the time earnings get depressed during the Expansion period and the stocks become available at cheaper valuations. So, while the current earnings might be depressed, with the completion of the Expansion, the earnings 2-3 years down the line could improve substantially. Thus, giving an opportunity for earnings and valuations re-rating.
A few days back we released our New Stock Recommendation for medium term investment for our Premium Members and it is based on the same logic as described above.
We come out with only 5-6 new stock ideas for long-medium term investment every year and would like to share with you details on the latest one –
- Industry – Chemicals
- Market Cap – Less than 400 crore
- Enterprise Value – Less than 400 crore
- Promoter Holding – Greater than 55%
- FY 14 – FY 19 Sales Growth – 17% CAGR
- FY 14 – FY 19 Operating Profit Growth – 18% CAGR
- FY 14 – FY 19 PBT Growth – 32% CAGR
- Debt – Company is debt free on net basis
Key Reasons as to why we like the company:
- Company is debt free on net basis and this is despite carrying out a major expansion of Rs 100 crore + in the last 2 years
- Promoters have been continuously increasing their stake in the company through market purchases
- As per our research, on the back of Rs 100 crore + expansion carried out by the company, we believe the Sales and PAT can double in the next 2-3 years
- 300% growth in exports since FY 17 and if at all the China + 1 hypothesis becomes true the opportunity landscape will open up further
- Despite the expected doubling of profits, good track record and net debt-free balance sheet, the stock is trading around 12-13 times earnings only
Thus, considering reasonable valuations at present and a strong probability of doubling of PBT to 80-90 crore in the next 2-3 years, we believe the stock is offering a good investment opportunity around current level.
If you are struggling to find good Stock ideas for investment, you are reading just the right stuff and can access latest Stock Reports, Special situations and Model Sheet in Premium Memberships HERE
SEBI Research Analyst Registration No. INH100001690
Research Analyst Details
Name: Ekansh Mittal Email Id: [email protected] Ph: +91 727 5050062
Details of Associate: Not Applicable
Analyst Certification: The Analyst certify (ies) that the views expressed herein accurately reflect his (their) personal view(s) about the subject security (ies) and issuer(s) and that no part of his (their) compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or views contained in this research report.
The views expressed are based solely on information available publicly and believed to be true. Investors are advised to independently evaluate the market conditions/risks involved before making any investment decision
A graph of daily closing prices of securities is available at www.bseindia.com (Choose a company from the list on the browser and select the “three years” period in the price chart
This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Ekansh Mittal/Mittal Consulting/Katalyst Wealth is not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any form. This document is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Ekansh Mittal or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Neither Ekansh Mittal, nor its employees, agents nor representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special or consequential including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information. Ekansh Mittal/Mittal Consulting or any of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement.
The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. Ekansh Mittal/Mittal Consulting and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/ positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. Mittal Consulting has incorporated adequate disclosures in this document. This should, however, not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on Ekansh Mittal by any regulatory authority impacting Equity Research Analysis.
Disclosure (SEBI RA Regulations)
Whether the research analyst or research entity or his associate or his relative has any financial interest in the subject company/companies and the nature of such financial interest – No
Whether the research analyst or research entity or his associates or his relatives have actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more securities of the subject company (at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance) – No
Whether the research analyst or research entity or his associate or his relative has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance – No
Whether it or its associates have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months – No
Whether it or its associates have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months – No
Whether it or its associates have received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months – No
Whether it or its associates have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months – No
Whether the subject company is or was a client during twelve months preceding the date of distribution of the research report and the types of services provided – No
Whether the research analyst has served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company – No
Whether the research analyst or research entity has been engaged in market making activity for the subject company – No