market outlook

Market Outlook – Where do we think are the Markets headed?

Dear Sir, Hope you are doing well. We don’t often talk about Market Outlook; however, as we are going through truly interesting times, thought of looking at some data and sharing our inputs. To begin with, frankly, I too don’t have a clear answer because there are a lot of mixed signals. Some of those are: NIFTY is 10-11% higher than pre Covid-19 highs of 12300-12400; however, the NIFTY MID CAP 100 is still 2-3% lower than the highs recorded…

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Market Outlook: What makes us believe in the certainty of recovery?

Dear Readers, The last one month or so has been one of a kind for the investors in stock market. The volatility witnessed probably surpassed what one might have experienced in 2008 or before. Within a month, the benchmark indices are down 20% and at one point of time were down 30%. How can one forget 13th Mar’20, wherein the trading was halted with markets down 10% and then not only the markets recovered all the losses but closed 4% higher…

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Letter on Model Portfolio performance, Markets, Position sizing and other details

Dear Sir, I hope you are doing well. It’s been more than a year since we started model portfolio service on 15th Aug’18 and I thought of sharing views on performance, markets and other details. In the last 13 months our Alpha Model Portfolio has delivered negative return of 12.60%. In the above performance we haven’t accounted for interest accrued on surplus cash; however, the same would have improved our performance by ~1.5-2%. For the same period Mid cap index is…

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Market outlook: Are we close to the bottom or is there more downside?

Dear Sir, I hope you are doing good. I know it’s not easy to be good considering the way the markets have been since the year and a half; however, we are writing this to share with you our views on the current market situation. Well, nobody knows the future, however we strongly believe in the fact that one can take cues from history because though history doesn’t necessarily repeat the same way, it does rhyme. Right now, most of…

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