Hello Sir,

Hope you are doing well.

Markets are at an all-time high and all the indices, be it small cap, mid cap, etc. all are doing well.

However, as is often the case, whenever the markets have corrected sharply or have done well, the general question that comes to mind is…what next?

Instead of trying to predict what the markets will do next, we prefer looking at market sentiment.

And the tool we use is basic google trends chart for the search term “Multibagger”.

Surprisingly, such a basic tool has proved to be quite accurate in marking market tops and bottoms in the past.

As can be observed from the chart, the “Multibagger” trends chart peaked around the same time markets peaked in the past: Dec’07, Sep’10, Jan’18, Jan’22.

Similarly, the “Multibagger” trends chart bottomed around the same time markets hit bottom in the past: Dec’08, Jul’13, Mar’20.

If we look at the value of the chart at the end of Jun’23, it’s closer to lows than peak values.

Thus, at least as per the chart, sentiment nowhere close to Jan’18, Jan’22 highs, even though markets at all-time high.

Doesn’t mean markets can’t correct in the short term and one should surely be cautious in terms of stock selection at this point of time.

But, purely, based on reading of the above chart, the market peak looks still some years away and who knows the next 3-4 years could be good for investors.

 

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Best Regards,

Ekansh Mittal
Research Analyst
Web: https://www.katalystwealth.com/

 

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